东北大学学报（自然科学版）

东北大学学报(自然科学版) ›› 2008, Vol. 29 ›› Issue (9): 1358-1361.DOI: -

• 论著 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于贝叶斯修正的协同契约研究

张翠华;王淑玲;杨佰强;   

  1. 东北大学工商管理学院;沈阳药科大学工商管理学院;
  • 收稿日期:2013-06-22 修回日期:2013-06-22 出版日期:2008-09-15 发布日期:2013-06-22
  • 通讯作者: Zhang, C.-H.
  • 作者简介:-
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金资助项目(70401011);;

Research on collaborative contracts with Bayesian updates

Zhang, Cui-Hua (1); Wang, Shu-Ling (2); Yang, Bai-Qiang (1)   

  1. (1) School of Business Administration, Northeastern University, Shenyang 110004, China; (2) School of Business Administration, Shenyang Pharmaceutical University, Shenyang 110004, China
  • Received:2013-06-22 Revised:2013-06-22 Online:2008-09-15 Published:2013-06-22
  • Contact: Zhang, C.-H.
  • About author:-
  • Supported by:
    -

RichHTML

0

PDF (PC)

536

摘要： 考虑了在由生产商和零售商两个独立角色组成的分散供应链中,在一个数量弹性合同下,零售商用贝叶斯定理来更新需求预测,以减少需求的不确定性.同时建立了激励双方的数量弹性协同契约模型,并为零售商的订货上限和订货弹性提供了最优决策,提出了供应双方利润分配的方法.仿真结果表明,在需求不确定的情况下,采用基于贝叶斯修正的数量弹性协同契约可以提高需求预测的准确性和供应双方的绩效.供应双方将通过谈判和协调获得双方均能接受的利润分配系数,从而达到双赢的目的.

关键词: 协同契约, 数量弹性, 贝叶斯修正, 利润分配, 需求不确定

Abstract: A decentralized supply chain consisting of two independent roles is considered, i.e., the manufacturer and retailer. Constrained by a quantity flexibility contract, the retailer can reduce the uncertainties in demand by way of updating the demand forecast information in accordance to Bayesian procedure. A collaborative contract model with quantity flexibility is thus developed to stimulate both parties, with an optimum decision provided for the retailer to determine the upper limit of ordering quantity or ordering flexibility. The distribution of profits between both parties is also discussed. Simulation results indicated that the quantity flexibility contract based on Bayesian updates can improve the accuracy of demand forecasting and performance of supply chain operation. By negotiation and cooperation, both parties will attain win-win goal in accordance to the profit distribution coefficient which is accepted by both parties.

中图分类号: