东北大学学报（自然科学版）

东北大学学报(自然科学版) ›› 2012, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (9): 1344-1348.DOI: -

• 论著 • 上一篇    下一篇

区间可拓法在化工园区应急能力评价中的应用

潘科;许开立;   

  1. 东北大学资源与土木工程学院;
  • 收稿日期:2013-06-19 修回日期:2013-06-19 出版日期:2012-09-15 发布日期:2013-04-04
  • 通讯作者: -
  • 作者简介:-
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金资助项目(50904013)

Application of the interval extension method for the assessment of emergency response capability

Pan, Ke (1); Xu, Kai-Li (1)   

  1. (1) School of Resources and Civil Engineering, Northeastern University, Shenyang 110819, China
  • Received:2013-06-19 Revised:2013-06-19 Online:2012-09-15 Published:2013-04-04
  • Contact: Pan, K.
  • About author:-
  • Supported by:
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摘要： 针对传统评价方法在评价过程中存在因为评价对象层次结构复杂、指标属性多样而导致的指标值存在主观性和难以精确确定等缺点,提出了一种以指标区间值和区间关联函数来确定评价结果的区间可拓评价方法.根据化工园区的特点及国家应急法律法规的要求,比较全面地构建了化工园区应急能力评价指标体系.以可拓集合理论为基础构建了化工园区应急能力评价的两级可拓评价模型,并以大连某化工园区为例进行说明.通过实例计算表明,该方法可以克服评价对象的不确定性和评价数据存在的主观性问题,有效地提高评价结果的可信度.该项工作可为我国化工园区应急能力评价的深入开展和应急管理提供参考依据.

关键词: 可拓评价, 区间关联函数, 化工园区, 应急能力, 应急体系

Abstract: In view of the fact that the indicator values are subjective and difficult to be determined accurately because of complex assessment objects and various indicator attributes in the traditional assessment methods, an interval extension evaluation method by using the interval values and the interval correlation function to determine the assessment results was proposed. The assessment index system of the emergency response capability was established according to the characteristics of chemical industry park (CIP) and the requirements of the emergency laws of China. Two-level interval extension evaluation mode was established based on extension set theory and was applied to assessing a certain CIP in Dalian city. It is shown that this method can solve the existing problem of the traditional methods and get more feasible and rational results. This work may provide a reference for the emergency management and assessment of the CIP in China.

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