东北大学学报(社会科学版) ›› 2022, Vol. 24 ›› Issue (1): 16-24.DOI: 10.15936/j.cnki.1008-3758.2022.01.003

• 经济与管理研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

智能制造时代需要怎样的技能人才?

宋旭光,左马华青   

  1. (北京师范大学统计学院,北京100875)
  • 发布日期:2022-02-23
  • 通讯作者: 宋旭光
  • 作者简介:宋旭光(1973-),男,辽宁庄河人,北京师范大学教授,博士生导师,主要从事宏观经济统计分析、国民经济核算研究;左马华青(1992-),男,辽宁盘锦人,北京师范大学博士研究生,主要从事宏观经济统计分析研究。
  • 基金资助:
    国家社会科学基金重大资助项目(18VSJ015)。

What Kind of Skilled Talents Are Needed in the Age of Intelligent Manufacturing?

SONG Xuguang, ZUO Mahuaqing   

  1. (School of Statistics, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China)
  • Published:2022-02-23
  • Contact: -
  • About author:-
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摘要: 智能制造是新一轮科技革命和产业变革的核心。基于嵌套的CES生产函数,从理论和经验角度剖析了智能制造的发展对不同技能水平劳动力就业需求的影响,并利用可行性广义非线性最小二乘法(FGNLS)来测算资本对于不同技能水平劳动力的替代弹性。研究发现:智能制造的发展将挤出非技能劳动力,且促进技能劳动力的就业需求。从结构上看,各地区智能制造的发展对不同技能水平劳动力就业需求的影响相似却又迥异,大部分区域智能制造的发展都增加了对技能劳动力的就业需求,尤其是京津冀地区和东北地区对高学历技能劳动力的需求高于其他区域。

关键词: 人工智能; 智能制造; 技能培训; 人才转移

Abstract: Intelligent manufacturing is the core of a new round of technological revolution and industrial transformation. Based on the nested CES production function, this paper analyzes the impact of the development of intelligent manufacturing on the employment demand of labor force with different skill levels from the perspective of theory and experience. Furthermore, by using feasibility generalized non-linear least squares (FGNLS) method, a normalized supply-side system is established to measure the substitution elasticity of capital for labor force with different skill levels. The results show that the development of intelligent manufacturing will squeeze out unskilled labor force and promote the employment demand for skilled labor force. From a structural point of view, the impact of the development of intelligent manufacturing on the employment demand for labor force with different skill levels in different regions is similar but different at the same time. The development of intelligent manufacturing in most regions has increased the employment demand for skilled labor, especially in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, and Northeast China, where the demand for highly educated skilled labor is higher than other regions.

Key words: artificial intelligence; intelligent manufacturing; skill training; talent transfer

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