Journal of Northeastern University(Social Science) ›› 2013, Vol. 15 ›› Issue (2): 134-139.DOI: -
• Economics and Management • Previous Articles Next Articles
WANG Sheng, TIAN Tao
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Abstract: Based on the mathematical model of exchange rate passthrough, this paper first analyzes the effect of inflationary environment on exchange rate passthrough. It then applies the smooth transition regression model to give an empirical analysis and the results are as follows: Firstly, the exchange rate passthrough is lower if the inflationary environment is lower and the exchange rate passthrough is higher if the inflationary environment is higher. Secondly, the exchange rate passthrough varies smoothly with the changes of the inflationary environment and the elastic nonlinear threshold value of RMB exchange rate passthrough on imported prices is 0.00197 (the threeperiod moving average). Finally, the current average of monthly inflation is generally beyond the critical value and the imported price level of the exchange rate passthrough is high. Therefore, the government should pay more attention to the increasing imported price level caused by the higher exchange rate passthrough.
Key words: imported inflation, exchange rate passthrough, STR model
CLC Number:
F830.9
WANG Sheng, TIAN Tao. Does China Experience Imported Inflation?From the Perspective of Exchange Rate Passthrough[J]. Journal of Northeastern University(Social Science), 2013, 15(2): 134-139.
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http://xuebao.neu.edu.cn/social/EN/Y2013/V15/I2/134