Journal of Northeastern University(Social Science) ›› 2015, Vol. 17 ›› Issue (4): 355-361.DOI: 10.15936/j.cnki.1008-3758.2015.04.005

• Economics and Management • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Dynamic Relationships Among Age Structure Change of Population, Economic Growth and Stock Market PriceAn Empirical Study Based on Impulse Response Analysis

WANG Gui-hu   

  1. (Graduate School, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing 102488, China)
  • Received:2014-11-22 Revised:2014-11-22 Online:2015-07-25 Published:2015-11-10
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Abstract: In the recent years, there has been an obvious trend of population aging in China. Based on the month data of 2000-2012, the vector auto-regression model was applied to examine the dynamic relationships among Chinas population age structure, GDP growth and stock market price. The empirical results showed that there exists a close dynamic relationship between GDP growth and stock market price; the proportion of the aged population has the most significant negative effect on GDP growth and stock market price; the proportion of the younger adults exerts a significant positive effect on GDP growth and stock market price; and GDP growth and stock market price do not have an obvious effect on the three types of population structure in the long run.

Key words: age structure of population, GDP growth rate, stock market, impulse response

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