东北大学学报（自然科学版）

东北大学学报(自然科学版) ›› 2013, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (2): 301-304.DOI: -

• 管理科学 • 上一篇    

我国经济结构测度及其影响因素的实证研究

张伟1，范德成2，王韶华2   

  1. (1.东北大学秦皇岛分校经贸学院，河北秦皇岛066004；2.哈尔滨工程大学经济管理学院，黑龙江哈尔滨150001)
  • 收稿日期:2012-07-14 修回日期:2012-07-14 出版日期:2013-02-15 发布日期:2013-04-04
  • 通讯作者: 张伟
  • 作者简介:张伟(1983-)，女，河北滦南人，东北大学秦皇岛分校讲师，博士；范德成(1964-)，男，山东平原人，哈尔滨工程大学教授，博士生导师.
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金资助项目(70773027)；国家软科学研究计划项目(2010GXQ5D327)；黑龙江省哲学社会科学规划项目(11A004)；中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目(GK2090260106)；教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金资助项目(12YJA790010).

Empirical Study on the Measurement of China’s Economic Structure and Its Influencing Factors

ZHANG Wei1， FAN Decheng2， WANG Shaohua2   

  1. 1. School of Economics and Business， Northeastern University at Qinhuangdao， Qinhuangdao 066004， China; 2. School of Economics and Management， Harbin Engineering University， Harbin 150001， China.
  • Received:2012-07-14 Revised:2012-07-14 Online:2013-02-15 Published:2013-04-04
  • Contact: ZHANG Wei
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摘要： 在分析经济结构涵盖内容的基础上确定衡量经济结构的代表指标，并运用主成分分析法对2005，2007和2009年我国各地区的经济结构状况进行测度.以各地区经济结构测度值为因变量，以各经济结构影响因素为自变量进行通径分析，测算各因素对我国经济结构的直接影响、间接影响和总影响.结果表明:就业结构与技术进步在经济结构优化过程中发挥了积极的正向作用，而城市化水平不高和经济发展速度过快阻碍了经济结构的优化.目前应抓住经济放缓给结构调整创造的有利时机依靠技术进步和城市化水平的提高来实现经济结构优化的目标.

关键词: 经济结构, 影响因素, 主成分分析(PCA), 通径分析, 调整途径

Abstract: Based on an analysis of the components of economic structure， several representative indicators for measuring economic structure were determined， and by using the principal component analysis， China’s regional economic structures in 2005， 2007 and 2009 were measured. Taking the measured values of China’s regional economic structures as the dependent variables and the factors influencing economic structure as the independent variables， a path analysis was given in order to calculate the direct effect， indirect effect and total effect of various factors on economic structure. The results show that employment structure and technological advance play a positive role in the process of economic structure optimization， but the low level of urbanization and the rapid pace of economic development hinder the optimization of economic structure. At present， the favorable opportunity created by economic slowdown for the sake of structural adjustment should be seized so as to optimize economic structure by means of technological advance and urbanization.

Key words: economic structure, influencing factor, principal component analysis, path analysis, adjustment path

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