Journal of Northeastern University ›› 2010, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (12): 1757-1760.DOI: -

• OriginalPaper • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Study on chaos and fractal dimension of an economic time series

Liu, Yong-Xi (1); Li, He (1); Zhao, Xi-Nan (2); Wen, Bang-Chun (1)   

  1. (1) School of Mechanical Engineering and Automation, Northeastern University, Shenyang 110004, China; (2) School of Business Administration, Northeastern University, Shenyang 110004, China
  • Received:2013-06-20 Revised:2013-06-20 Online:2010-12-15 Published:2013-06-20
  • Contact: Liu, Y.-X.
  • About author:-
  • Supported by:
    -

Abstract: To find out the internal dynamic characteristics of economics fluctuation, the possibility of the existence of chaotic behavior in a city's power consumption fluctuation is analyzed nonlinearly. Based on the city's data logging of power consumption in recent years, the different methods are used to analyze the chaotic dynamics, such as the phase space reconstruction, amplitude spectra and Poincare's mapping. The correlated fractal dimension calculated. As a result, the saturated embedded dimensions are 7 and the correlation fractal dimension is 0.834, and a judgment is thus primarily made that the process of power consumption in the city is chaotic. The dynamically chaotic characteristics of power consumption fluctuation is therefore proved rigorously, thus providing a theoretical basis for studying the relevant forecasting of chaos.

CLC Number: