东北大学学报(社会科学版) ›› 2019, Vol. 21 ›› Issue (1): 28-35.DOI: 10.15936/j.cnki.1008-3758.2019.01.005

• 经济与管理研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

污染物源头控制模式影响我国雾霾防治的效应研究

徐盈之,刘晨跃,蔡晓   

  1. (东南大学经济管理学院,江苏南京211189)
  • 收稿日期:2018-08-25 修回日期:2018-08-25 出版日期:2019-01-25 发布日期:2019-01-12
  • 通讯作者: 徐盈之
  • 作者简介:徐盈之(1970-),女,浙江杭州人,东南大学教授,博士生导师,主要从事环境经济研究。
  • 基金资助:
    国家社会科学基金重点资助项目(15AJY009);国家自然科学基金资助项目(71573136);江苏省社会科学基金资助项目(17ZTB017);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目(2242018S10009)。

Research on the Effect of Pollutant Source Control Model on the Control of Haze in China

XU Ying-zhi, LIU Chen-yue, CAI Xiao   

  1. (School of Economics and Management, Southeast University, Nanjing 211189, China)
  • Received:2018-08-25 Revised:2018-08-25 Online:2019-01-25 Published:2019-01-12
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摘要: 近年来,经济社会的快速发展导致雾霾污染问题较为突出,雾霾污染频频出现在大众视野之中。通过剖析污染物源头控制对雾霾污染防治的作用机理,研究实现我国雾霾防治的根本途径,即如何从源头控制雾霾污染物的产生来有效控制雾霾污染。结果表明:燃烧源和工业源控制在滞后1、2、3期的状态下是雾霾污染程度的格兰杰原因,交通源控制并不是雾霾污染程度的格兰杰原因。同时脉冲响应图显示控制燃烧源、工业源和交通源对我国雾霾污染皆起到一定的抑制作用,从而为我国从“三源”控制角度明确雾霾防治重点和制定防治措施提供了科学依据。

关键词: PM2.5, 污染物源头控制, 燃烧源, 工业源, 交通源, 雾霾污染

Abstract: In recent years, the rapid economic and social development of many cities in China has led to the problem of haze pollution. The topic of haze pollution frequently appears in everyone's vision. This paper studies the fundamental ways to prevent and control haze in China, i.e. controlling the production of haze pollutants from the source, by analyzing the mechanism of the control of pollutant sources. The results show that the combustion source and industrial source control in lag periods 1, 2, and 3 is the Granger cause of haze pollution. The traffic source control is not the Granger cause of haze pollution. At the same time, the impulse response model shows that control of combustion source, industrial source and traffic source for China's haze pollution has played an inhibitory role, and thus provides a scientific basis for China to make clear the focus of haze prevention and work out control measures from the perspective of controlling the “three sources”.

Key words: PM2.5, the control of pollutant source, combustion source, industrial source, traffic source, haze pollution

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