东北大学学报(社会科学版) ›› 2024, Vol. 26 ›› Issue (4): 42-51.DOI: 10.15936/j.cnki.1008-3758.2024.04.006

• 经济与管理研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

本土市场规模与制造业出口复杂度——基于国内国际市场协同的视角

安岗1,王佳1,邸文慧2   

  1. (1.东北大学工商管理学院,辽宁沈阳110169;2.龙盈智达(北京)科技有限公司数据智能事业部,北京100144)
  • 发布日期:2024-09-03
  • 通讯作者: 安岗
  • 作者简介:安岗(1970-),男,陕西富平人,东北大学副教授,经济学博士,主要从事产业组织与国际经济研究。
  • 基金资助:
    国家社会科学基金资助项目(22BJL139);教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金资助项目(18YJA790002);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目(N2306003)。

Home Market Size and the Manufacturing Export Complexity: Based on the Perspective of Domestic and International Market Synergy

AN Gang1, WANG Jia1, DI Wenhui2   

  1. (1. School of Business Administration, Northeastern University, Shenyang 110169, China; 2. Data Intelligence Business Unit, Longying Zhida (Beijing) Technology Co., Ltd., Beijing 100144, China)
  • Published:2024-09-03
  • Contact: -
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摘要: 在“双循环”新发展格局下,利用我国超大规模市场优势提升出口产品的复杂度显得尤为重要。通过构建本土市场规模影响出口复杂度的理论模型,采用147个国家(地区)205种制造业产品的出口数据进行实证检验,研究结果表明:本土市场规模对制造业出口复杂度呈显著促进效应,且这种作用在数字基础设施高水平国家、非毗邻大国国家以及发展中国家中表现得更为突出。渠道检验显示,本土市场规模可以通过提高技术创新水平进而影响出口复杂度。此外,基于国内、国际两个市场协同的视角,发现发展中国家进口依存度与本土市场规模具有协同效应,能够促进出口复杂度的提高,其出口依存度则存在负向作用,而发达国家则相反。

关键词: 本土市场规模; 出口复杂度; 技术创新; “双循环”新发展格局

Abstract: Under the new development pattern of “dual circulation”, it is particularly important to leverage China's super large market advantage to enhance the complexity of export products. A theoretical model was constructed in the study to examine the impact of home market size on export complexity, and empirical tests were conducted using export data of 205 manufacturing products from 147 countries (regions). The research results indicate that home market size has a significant promoting effect on manufacturing export complexity, and this effect is more prominent in countries with high-level digital infrastructure, countries without large neighbors, and developing countries. Channel tests show that home market size can affect manufacturing export complexity by improving the level of technological innovation. In addition, based on the perspective of domestic and international market synergy, it is found that the import dependence of developing countries has a synergistic effect with the size of the home market, which can promote the increase of export complexity, while its export dependence has a negative effect. However, the opposite is true in developed countries.

Key words: home market size; export complexity; technology innovation; “dual circulation” new development pattern

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