Journal of Northeastern University ›› 2010, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (4): 576-580.DOI: -

• OriginalPaper • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Trend forecast and scenario simulation analysis of ecological footprints in China

Zhang, Bo (1); Wang, Qing (1); Liu, Jian-Xing (2); Gu, Xiao-Wei (1)   

  1. (1) School of Resources and Civil Engineering, Northeastern University, Shenyang 110004, China; (2) School of Zijin Mining, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou 350108, China
  • Received:2013-06-20 Revised:2013-06-20 Online:2010-04-15 Published:2013-06-20
  • Contact: Zhang, B.
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Abstract: To improve the ecological footprints in statics and get rid of the deficient function of forecast, a trend analysis and scenario simulation analysis were made for China's ecological footprints. The results showed that China's ecological footprints still present an upward trend, since the growth rate of the efficiency of resource utilization was faster than GDP growth rate in China's economic development, but they were still in coordination and the resources pressure will be at a low level in the near future. Nevertheless, in the risky circumstances the change in resource utilization efficiency lags behind the economic development with the resource pressure increased gradually, which will cause an enormous impact on not only China herself but also the global natural ecosystem. The only way to reduce the resource/ecology pressure in China is to improve rapidly the efficiency of resource utilization.

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