Journal of Northeastern University(Natural Science) ›› 2022, Vol. 43 ›› Issue (4): 599-608.DOI: 10.12068/j.issn.1005-3026.2022.04.019

• Management Science • Previous Articles    

Analysis of Macroeconomic Motivations of Cross-Border Mergers and Acquisitions in China Based on EEMD Model

XIAO Ming1, GUO Ying1, ZHU Jia-hui2   

  1. 1. School of Economics and Management, University of Science & Technology Beijing, Beijing 100083, China; 2. School of Accountancy, Central University of Finance and Economics, Beijing 100081, China.
  • Revised:2021-09-29 Accepted:2021-09-29 Published:2022-05-18
  • Contact: GUO Ying
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Abstract: Taking the cross-border mergers and acquisitions (M&As) implemented by China’s A-share listed companies from 2008 to 2018 as a sample, the ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) model is used to examine the relationship between the macroeconomic environment and cross-border M & As from two time scales: short-term and long-term. The results show that in recent years, the sustained and high-speed development of China’s macro-economy is the main reason for the long-term fluctuations in cross-border M&As, and the rising uncertainty of domestic economic policies will also promote it. Short-term fluctuations in the stock market and economic policy adjustments are important factors driving short-term fluctuations in cross-border M&As. Regardless of the long-term and short-term scales, economic expectations have a negative inhibitory effect on the fluctuation of cross-border M&As. When the domestic stock market index is at a high level and future economic expectations deteriorate or economic policy uncertainty rises, it is more likely for Chinese companies to conduct cross-border M&As.

Key words: cross-border mergers and acquisitions (M&As); stock market fluctuation; economic expectation; economic policy uncertainty; ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD)

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