东北大学学报(社会科学版) ›› 2025, Vol. 27 ›› Issue (6): 49-56.DOI: 10.15936/j.cnki.1008-3758.2025.06.006

• 经济与管理 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国省域绿色发展驱动因素及多元路径选择

李伟伟, 迟雅婷, 易平涛   

  1. 东北大学 工商管理学院,辽宁 沈阳 110169
  • 收稿日期:2024-07-06 出版日期:2025-11-25 发布日期:2025-12-03
  • 作者简介:李伟伟,东北大学副教授,博士生导师
    易平涛,东北大学教授,博士生导师。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金面上项目(72171041);国家自然科学基金面上项目(72171040);辽宁省自然科学基金优秀青年基金项目(2024JH3/10200008);中央高校基本科研业务费项目(N25QNR003)

Driving Factors and Multiple Path Selection of Provincial Green Development in China:An Empirical Analysis Based on PEST Framework

Weiwei LI, Yating CHI, Pingtao YI   

  1. School of Business Administration,Northeastern University,Shenyang 110169,China
  • Received:2024-07-06 Online:2025-11-25 Published:2025-12-03

摘要:

针对中国省域绿色发展的驱动因素及路径选择问题,基于PEST理论框架和模糊集定性比较分析方法,对30个省(区、市)2023年的绿色发展水平及其驱动因素与发展路径进行了组态分析。研究结果表明:单一条件因素并不构成省域高绿色发展的必要条件,但信息化水平在推动绿色发展方面起到普适性的作用;存在“经济助力下的政治—技术驱动型”“依托社会信任的政治—技术驱动型”和“社会—技术二元驱动型”三种可以实现地区高绿色发展水平的多元路径,以及三种导致地区绿色发展水平较低的组态,且两类组态之间存在因果非对称关系。

关键词: 绿色发展, PEST框架, 条件组态, 模糊集定性比较分析

Abstract:

In order to address the issue of drivers and path selection of green development in Chinese provinces, the green development level of 30 provincial-level regions in 2023 and their drivers and development paths are analyzed based on the PEST theoretical framework and the fuzzy set qualitative comparative analysis (fsQCA) method. The results show that, a single factor does not constitute a necessary condition for high green development in a province, but informationalized level plays a universal role in promoting green development; there are three kinds of multiple paths that can realize the high level of green development in the regions, the ‘political-technological driven model with economic support’, the ‘political-technological driven model reliant on society trust’ and the ‘social-technological dual-driven model’, as well as three kinds of groupings that lead to the low level of green development in the regions, and there is a causally asymmetric relationship between the two types of groupings.

Key words: green development, PEST framework, conditional configuration, fuzzy set qualitative comparative analysis (fsQCA)

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