东北大学学报(社会科学版) ›› 2025, Vol. 27 ›› Issue (4): 110-118.DOI: 10.15936/j.cnki.1008-3758.2025.04.011

• 法学研究 • 上一篇    

人工智能犯罪预测的权力逻辑

刘文琦   

  1. 北京大学 法学院,北京 100871
  • 收稿日期:2024-05-22 出版日期:2025-07-25 发布日期:2025-08-08
  • 作者简介:刘文琦,北京大学博士研究生。
  • 基金资助:
    司法部法治建设与法学理论研究部级科研项目(22SFB5031)

The Power Logic of Artificial Intelligence Crime Prediction

Wenqi LIU   

  1. School of Law,Peking University,Beijing 100871,China
  • Received:2024-05-22 Online:2025-07-25 Published:2025-08-08

摘要:

人工智能犯罪预测通过数据输入、算法分析、结果输出和控制措施实施的技术机理嵌入犯罪治理。基于认知规训、系统架构、信息偏在,犯罪预测从辅助工具演变为技术权力,表现为预测算法对追诉权启动的主导性权力、预测结果在诉讼进程中的传导性权力、预测系统滋生的技术自主性权力。这引发了侵蚀刑事追诉谦抑性的权力扩张风险、弱化被追诉人参与能力的权利排斥风险、模糊责任链条分配的制裁规避风险。应合理区隔预测结果与刑事追诉,构建差异心证门槛、无害推定原则等制度;导入预测结果的层级告知与算法翻译原则,确保有效参与;建构预测系统及结果的双重审查和责任追究机制,强化实质人工干预。

关键词: 算法黑箱, 技术权力, 预测警务, 层级告知

Abstract:

Artificial intelligence crime prediction embeds itself into crime governance through a technical mechanism encompassing data input, algorithmic analysis, result output, and control measure implementation. Based on cognitive discipline, systemic architecture, and information asymmetry, crime prediction has evolved from an auxiliary tool into a form technological power, manifesting itself in the dominant power of predictive algorithms over the initiation of recourse, the transmissive power of prediction results in judicial proceedings, and the emergent technical autonomy generated by predictive systems. This engenders the risk of power expansion that erodes the principle of prosecutorial restraint, the exclusionary effect that weakens the participatory capacity of the accused, and the obfuscation of accountability chains that facilitates sanction evasion. A reasonable distinction should be made between prediction results and criminal prosecution. Differential evidentiary thresholds and presumption-of-harmlessness principles should be established. Tiered disclosure protocols and algorithmic interpretability standards should be implemented to ensure meaningful participation. Dual-review mechanisms with accountability frameworks should be instituted to strengthen substantive human intervention.

Key words: algorithmic black box, technological power, predictive policing, hierarchical notification

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