Journal of Northeastern University(Social Science) ›› 2025, Vol. 27 ›› Issue (3): 131-141.DOI: 10.15936/j.cnki.1008-3758.2025.03.015
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Qingnian ZHAO, Ke LIU
Received:
2024-05-27
Online:
2025-05-25
Published:
2025-06-17
CLC Number:
Qingnian ZHAO, Ke LIU. Effects and Mechanisms of Higher Education Promoting the Growth of Regional Economy: Based on the Synergistic Perspective of Scale, Structure and Quality[J]. Journal of Northeastern University(Social Science), 2025, 27(3): 131-141.
一级指标 | 二级指标 | 指标方向 |
---|---|---|
高等教育规模要素 | 省份年末普通高等学校招生数(万人) | + |
省份年末普通高等学校在校生数(万人) | + | |
高等教育结构要素 | 省份年末普通高等教育专科在校生人数和本科生在校生人数之比(%) | + |
省份年末普通高等教育研究生在校生人数与本专科生在校生人数之比(%) | + | |
高等教育质量要素 | 省份年末普通高等教育生均经费(元/人) | + |
省份年末普通高等学校专任教师数(人) | + |
一级指标 | 二级指标 | 指标方向 |
---|---|---|
高等教育规模要素 | 省份年末普通高等学校招生数(万人) | + |
省份年末普通高等学校在校生数(万人) | + | |
高等教育结构要素 | 省份年末普通高等教育专科在校生人数和本科生在校生人数之比(%) | + |
省份年末普通高等教育研究生在校生人数与本专科生在校生人数之比(%) | + | |
高等教育质量要素 | 省份年末普通高等教育生均经费(元/人) | + |
省份年末普通高等学校专任教师数(人) | + |
变量 | 样本量 | 均值 | 标准差 | 最小值 | 最大值 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
lnPgdp | 465 | 10.447 | 0.655 | 8.528 | 12.009 |
lnCod | 465 | 0.435 | 0.097 | 0.166 | 0.602 |
lnHcap | 465 | 2.224 | 0.167 | 1.252 | 2.632 |
lnStin | 465 | 0.087 | 0.390 | -0.640 | 1.655 |
lnIndu | 465 | 5.722 | 2.096 | 0.000 | 9.486 |
lnHcon | 465 | 9.276 | 0.570 | 7.963 | 10.728 |
lnNsp | 465 | 6.101 | 1.324 | 1.946 | 8.721 |
lnLab | 465 | 2.147 | 1.053 | 0.000 | 5.147 |
lnFinan | 465 | 7.808 | 0.900 | 5.019 | 9.758 |
lnOpen | 465 | -1.774 | 0.984 | -4.368 | 0.579 |
lnKj | 465 | 3.574 | 1.370 | -0.813 | 7.064 |
lnRd | 465 | 10.788 | 1.377 | 6.395 | 13.596 |
lnJr | 465 | 6.351 | 1.328 | 1.988 | 9.379 |
lnJk | 465 | -4.441 | 0.613 | -6.661 | -3.475 |
变量 | 样本量 | 均值 | 标准差 | 最小值 | 最大值 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
lnPgdp | 465 | 10.447 | 0.655 | 8.528 | 12.009 |
lnCod | 465 | 0.435 | 0.097 | 0.166 | 0.602 |
lnHcap | 465 | 2.224 | 0.167 | 1.252 | 2.632 |
lnStin | 465 | 0.087 | 0.390 | -0.640 | 1.655 |
lnIndu | 465 | 5.722 | 2.096 | 0.000 | 9.486 |
lnHcon | 465 | 9.276 | 0.570 | 7.963 | 10.728 |
lnNsp | 465 | 6.101 | 1.324 | 1.946 | 8.721 |
lnLab | 465 | 2.147 | 1.053 | 0.000 | 5.147 |
lnFinan | 465 | 7.808 | 0.900 | 5.019 | 9.758 |
lnOpen | 465 | -1.774 | 0.984 | -4.368 | 0.579 |
lnKj | 465 | 3.574 | 1.370 | -0.813 | 7.064 |
lnRd | 465 | 10.788 | 1.377 | 6.395 | 13.596 |
lnJr | 465 | 6.351 | 1.328 | 1.988 | 9.379 |
lnJk | 465 | -4.441 | 0.613 | -6.661 | -3.475 |
统计量 | 统计值 | p值 |
---|---|---|
LM-error | 51.142 | 0.000 |
Robust-LM-error | 55.101 | 0.000 |
LM-lag | 3.615 | 0.057 |
Robust-LM-lag | 7.575 | 0.006 |
LR-spatial error | 33.160 | 0.000 |
LR-spatial lag Hausman LR-地区 LR-时间 | 37.670 | 0.000 |
42.530 | 0.000 | |
423.220 | 0.000 | |
1 331.420 | 0.000 |
统计量 | 统计值 | p值 |
---|---|---|
LM-error | 51.142 | 0.000 |
Robust-LM-error | 55.101 | 0.000 |
LM-lag | 3.615 | 0.057 |
Robust-LM-lag | 7.575 | 0.006 |
LR-spatial error | 33.160 | 0.000 |
LR-spatial lag Hausman LR-地区 LR-时间 | 37.670 | 0.000 |
42.530 | 0.000 | |
423.220 | 0.000 | |
1 331.420 | 0.000 |
变量 | FE | Tobit | OLS | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | |
lnCod | 1.318*** (0.299) | 0.592** (0.236) | 1.318*** (0.284) | 0.592*** (0.222) | 1.138*** (0.360) | 0.592** (0.286) |
常数项 | 9.873*** (0.130) | 3.971*** (0.381) | 9.885*** (0.127) | 4.597*** (0.349) | 9.885*** (0.167) | 4.597*** (0.571) |
控制变量 | 否 | 是 | 否 | 是 | 否 | 是 |
R2 | 0.973 | 0.986 | — | — | 0.973 | 0.986 |
N | 465 | 465 | 465 | 465 | 465 | 465 |
变量 | FE | Tobit | OLS | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | |
lnCod | 1.318*** (0.299) | 0.592** (0.236) | 1.318*** (0.284) | 0.592*** (0.222) | 1.138*** (0.360) | 0.592** (0.286) |
常数项 | 9.873*** (0.130) | 3.971*** (0.381) | 9.885*** (0.127) | 4.597*** (0.349) | 9.885*** (0.167) | 4.597*** (0.571) |
控制变量 | 否 | 是 | 否 | 是 | 否 | 是 |
R2 | 0.973 | 0.986 | — | — | 0.973 | 0.986 |
N | 465 | 465 | 465 | 465 | 465 | 465 |
变量 | FE | Tobit | OLS | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | |
lnCod | 1.510*** (0.259) | 0.678*** (0.194) | 1.510*** (0.246) | 0.678*** (0.183) | 1.510*** (0.330) | 0.678*** (0.255) |
常数项 | 8.681*** (0.113) | 3.027*** (0.313) | 8.096*** (0.110) | 3.010*** (0.287) | 8.096*** (0.145) | 3.010*** (0.492) |
控制变量 | 否 | 是 | 否 | 是 | 否 | 是 |
N | 465 | 465 | 465 | 465 | 465 | 465 |
变量 | FE | Tobit | OLS | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | |
lnCod | 1.510*** (0.259) | 0.678*** (0.194) | 1.510*** (0.246) | 0.678*** (0.183) | 1.510*** (0.330) | 0.678*** (0.255) |
常数项 | 8.681*** (0.113) | 3.027*** (0.313) | 8.096*** (0.110) | 3.010*** (0.287) | 8.096*** (0.145) | 3.010*** (0.492) |
控制变量 | 否 | 是 | 否 | 是 | 否 | 是 |
N | 465 | 465 | 465 | 465 | 465 | 465 |
变量 | FE | Tobit | OLS | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | |
lnCod | 1.427*** (0.276) | 0.653*** (0.221) | 1.427*** (0.262) | 0.653*** (0.207) | 1.427*** (0.365) | 0.653*** (0.286) |
常数项 | 9.726*** (0.121) | 5.713*** (0.430) | 8.699*** (0.135) | 5.406*** (0.377) | 8.699*** (0.187) | 5.406*** (0.563) |
控制变量 | 否 | 是 | 否 | 是 | 否 | 是 |
N | 405 | 405 | 405 | 405 | 405 | 405 |
变量 | FE | Tobit | OLS | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | |
lnCod | 1.427*** (0.276) | 0.653*** (0.221) | 1.427*** (0.262) | 0.653*** (0.207) | 1.427*** (0.365) | 0.653*** (0.286) |
常数项 | 9.726*** (0.121) | 5.713*** (0.430) | 8.699*** (0.135) | 5.406*** (0.377) | 8.699*** (0.187) | 5.406*** (0.563) |
控制变量 | 否 | 是 | 否 | 是 | 否 | 是 |
N | 405 | 405 | 405 | 405 | 405 | 405 |
变量 | (1) | (2) |
---|---|---|
lnCod | 1.367*** (0.427) | 0.765** (0.318) |
常数项 | 11.311*** (0.199) | 4.703*** (0.819) |
控制变量 | 否 | 是 |
弱识别检验 | 639.513*** | 560.169*** |
未识别检验 | 85.172*** | 104.133*** |
R2 | 0.039 | 0.514 |
N | 434 | 434 |
变量 | (1) | (2) |
---|---|---|
lnCod | 1.367*** (0.427) | 0.765** (0.318) |
常数项 | 11.311*** (0.199) | 4.703*** (0.819) |
控制变量 | 否 | 是 |
弱识别检验 | 639.513*** | 560.169*** |
未识别检验 | 85.172*** | 104.133*** |
R2 | 0.039 | 0.514 |
N | 434 | 434 |
变量 | 北方地区 | 南方地区 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FE | Tobit | OLS | FE | Tobit | OLS | |
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | |
lnCod | 0.337 (0.309) | 0.337 (0.281) | 0.337 (0.334) | 1.414*** (0.343) | 1.414*** (0.314) | 1.414*** (0.412) |
常数项 | 5.497*** (0.641) | 5.796*** (0.581) | 5.796*** (0.769) | 5.603*** (0.582) | 6.224*** (0.498) | 6.224*** (0.736) |
控制变量 | 是 | 是 | 是 | 是 | 是 | 是 |
R2 | 0.985 | — | 0.985 | 0.992 | — | 0.992 |
N | 225 | 225 | 225 | 240 | 240 | 240 |
变量 | 北方地区 | 南方地区 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FE | Tobit | OLS | FE | Tobit | OLS | |
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | |
lnCod | 0.337 (0.309) | 0.337 (0.281) | 0.337 (0.334) | 1.414*** (0.343) | 1.414*** (0.314) | 1.414*** (0.412) |
常数项 | 5.497*** (0.641) | 5.796*** (0.581) | 5.796*** (0.769) | 5.603*** (0.582) | 6.224*** (0.498) | 6.224*** (0.736) |
控制变量 | 是 | 是 | 是 | 是 | 是 | 是 |
R2 | 0.985 | — | 0.985 | 0.992 | — | 0.992 |
N | 225 | 225 | 225 | 240 | 240 | 240 |
变量 | lnHcap | lnIndu | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FE | Tobit | OLS | FE | Tobit | OLS | |
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | |
lnCod | 0.307** (0.125) | 0.307*** (0.118) | 0.307** (0.141) | 2.103*** (0.357) | 2.103*** (0.336) | 2.103*** (0.357) |
常数项 | 1.175*** (0.202) | 1.517*** (0.185) | 1.517*** (0.216) | -2.835*** (0.576) | -1.075** (0.527) | -1.075 (0.822) |
控制变量 | 是 | 是 | 是 | 是 | 是 | 是 |
变量 | lnStin | lnHcon | ||||
FE | Tobit | OLS | FE | Tobit | OLS | |
(7) | (8) | (9) | (10) | (11) | (12) | |
lnCod | 1.613*** (0.569) | 1.613*** (0.535) | 1.613*** (0.569) | 0.289** (0.115) | 0.289** (0.109) | 0.289** (0.126) |
常数项 | 0.233 (0.917) | 0.218 (0.840) | 0.218 (0.893) | 7.497*** (0.186) | 7.798*** (0.171) | 7.798*** (0.207) |
控制变量 | 是 | 是 | 是 | 是 | 是 | 是 |
N | 465 | 465 | 465 | 465 | 465 | 465 |
变量 | lnHcap | lnIndu | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FE | Tobit | OLS | FE | Tobit | OLS | |
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | |
lnCod | 0.307** (0.125) | 0.307*** (0.118) | 0.307** (0.141) | 2.103*** (0.357) | 2.103*** (0.336) | 2.103*** (0.357) |
常数项 | 1.175*** (0.202) | 1.517*** (0.185) | 1.517*** (0.216) | -2.835*** (0.576) | -1.075** (0.527) | -1.075 (0.822) |
控制变量 | 是 | 是 | 是 | 是 | 是 | 是 |
变量 | lnStin | lnHcon | ||||
FE | Tobit | OLS | FE | Tobit | OLS | |
(7) | (8) | (9) | (10) | (11) | (12) | |
lnCod | 1.613*** (0.569) | 1.613*** (0.535) | 1.613*** (0.569) | 0.289** (0.115) | 0.289** (0.109) | 0.289** (0.126) |
常数项 | 0.233 (0.917) | 0.218 (0.840) | 0.218 (0.893) | 7.497*** (0.186) | 7.798*** (0.171) | 7.798*** (0.207) |
控制变量 | 是 | 是 | 是 | 是 | 是 | 是 |
N | 465 | 465 | 465 | 465 | 465 | 465 |
年份 | lnPgdp | lnCod | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Moran’s I | Geary’s C | Moran’s I | Geary’s C | |
2005 | 0.485*** | 0.448*** | 0.415*** | 0.504*** |
2006 | 0.483*** | 0.453*** | 0.387*** | 0.544*** |
2007 | 0.478*** | 0.462*** | 0.395*** | 0.529*** |
2008 | 0.469*** | 0.473*** | 0.399*** | 0.531*** |
2009 | 0.442*** | 0.504*** | 0.401*** | 0.513*** |
2010 | 0.452*** | 0.504*** | 0.401*** | 0.505*** |
2011 | 0.444*** | 0.520*** | 0.395*** | 0.519*** |
2012 | 0.419*** | 0.544*** | 0.383*** | 0.536*** |
2013 | 0.396*** | 0.563*** | 0.385*** | 0.538*** |
2014 | 0.367*** | 0.589*** | 0.379*** | 0.538*** |
2015 | 0.352*** | 0.600*** | 0.390*** | 0.518*** |
2016 | 0.356*** | 0.587*** | 0.380*** | 0.522*** |
2017 | 0.377*** | 0.555*** | 0.373*** | 0.514*** |
2018 | 0.368*** | 0.564*** | 0.368*** | 0.564*** |
2019 | 0.337*** | 0.587*** | 0.395*** | 0.492*** |
年份 | lnPgdp | lnCod | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Moran’s I | Geary’s C | Moran’s I | Geary’s C | |
2005 | 0.485*** | 0.448*** | 0.415*** | 0.504*** |
2006 | 0.483*** | 0.453*** | 0.387*** | 0.544*** |
2007 | 0.478*** | 0.462*** | 0.395*** | 0.529*** |
2008 | 0.469*** | 0.473*** | 0.399*** | 0.531*** |
2009 | 0.442*** | 0.504*** | 0.401*** | 0.513*** |
2010 | 0.452*** | 0.504*** | 0.401*** | 0.505*** |
2011 | 0.444*** | 0.520*** | 0.395*** | 0.519*** |
2012 | 0.419*** | 0.544*** | 0.383*** | 0.536*** |
2013 | 0.396*** | 0.563*** | 0.385*** | 0.538*** |
2014 | 0.367*** | 0.589*** | 0.379*** | 0.538*** |
2015 | 0.352*** | 0.600*** | 0.390*** | 0.518*** |
2016 | 0.356*** | 0.587*** | 0.380*** | 0.522*** |
2017 | 0.377*** | 0.555*** | 0.373*** | 0.514*** |
2018 | 0.368*** | 0.564*** | 0.368*** | 0.564*** |
2019 | 0.337*** | 0.587*** | 0.395*** | 0.492*** |
变量 | 邻接距离矩阵 | 地理距离矩阵 | 经济距离矩阵 |
---|---|---|---|
(1) | (2) | (3) | |
lnCod | 0.838*** (0.224) | 1.069*** (0.221) | 0.488** (0.220) |
lnCod× W | -0.693 (0.428) | -1.499*** (0.526) | -4.404** (1.792) |
控制变量 | 是 | 是 | 是 |
控制变量× W | 是 | 是 | 是 |
lnCod直接效应 | 0.796*** (0.245) | 0.967*** (0.237) | 0.420* (0.231) |
lnCod间接效应 | -0.566 (0.780) | -1.874* (1.080) | -5.739** (2.874) |
lnCod总效应 | 0.230 (0.918) | -0.907 (1.191) | -5.319* (0.041) |
R2 | 0.965 | 0.958 | 0.944 |
N | 465 | 465 | 465 |
变量 | 邻接距离矩阵 | 地理距离矩阵 | 经济距离矩阵 |
---|---|---|---|
(1) | (2) | (3) | |
lnCod | 0.838*** (0.224) | 1.069*** (0.221) | 0.488** (0.220) |
lnCod× W | -0.693 (0.428) | -1.499*** (0.526) | -4.404** (1.792) |
控制变量 | 是 | 是 | 是 |
控制变量× W | 是 | 是 | 是 |
lnCod直接效应 | 0.796*** (0.245) | 0.967*** (0.237) | 0.420* (0.231) |
lnCod间接效应 | -0.566 (0.780) | -1.874* (1.080) | -5.739** (2.874) |
lnCod总效应 | 0.230 (0.918) | -0.907 (1.191) | -5.319* (0.041) |
R2 | 0.965 | 0.958 | 0.944 |
N | 465 | 465 | 465 |
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